| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34T/45NBP5S | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2021/11.03.12.58 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2021:11.03.12.58.42 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2021/11.03.12.58.42 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2022:04.03.22.27.39 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1007/s00024-021-02849-1 | |||
| ISSN | 0033-4553 | |||
| Citation Key | FranchitoRaoReyeGiar:2021:FuChCl | |||
| Title | Future Changes in Climatic Variables Due to Greenhouse Warming Increases Dengue Incidence in the Region of the Tucurui Hydroelectric Dam in the Amazon  | |||
| Year | 2021 | |||
| Month | Sept. | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 18 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 3208 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Franchito, Sérgio Henrique 2 Rao, Vadlamudi Brahmananda 3 Reyes Fernandez, Julio Pablo 4 Giarolla, Emanuel | |||
| Resume Identifier | 1 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ82 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJAJ 3 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHKJ 4 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JH2A | |||
| Group | 1 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 2 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 3 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR 4 DIMNT-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 sfranchito@hotmail.com 2 3 jprf.clarice@gmail.com 4 egiarolla@yahoo.com.br | |||
| Journal | Pure and Applied Geophysics | |||
| Volume | 178 | |||
| Pages | 4033-4047 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A2_GEOCIÊNCIAS A2_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B1_BIODIVERSIDADE B2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I B3_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA | |||
| History (UTC) | 2021-11-03 12:58:42 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021-11-03 12:58:44 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 2021-11-03 12:58:55 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021 2022-04-03 22:27:39 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | Dengue incidence in Amazonia Relationships between temperature and dengue incidence. Tucurui hydroelectric dam | |||
| Abstract | This study investigates the impact of future changes in climatic variables on dengue incidence in the region of the Tucurui dam in the Amazon. Tucurui dam is the one of the largest hydroelectric power stations in the Amazon. Correlations and regression analysis through least squares fitting between dengue cases and temperature, precipitation, and humidity are obtained. Positive correlations between dengue incidence and temperature are found for lags from 4 to 5 months (higher correlation for lag 5), dengue and precipitation for lags 0 up to 1, and dengue and humidity for lag 0. The positive correlations between dengue and precipitation and between dengue and humidity are higher for the simultaneous correlation. To investigate the impact of the future changes in these climatic variables in the region, projections of RegCM4 model simulations under the RCP 8.5 scenario are obtained. The model projections indicate a warming and moisture increase in the region near the dam at the end of the twenty-first century. Regression analysis using the model projections indicates that the dengue incidence may increase substantially in future climate scenarios in this region (more than fivefold compared with the present climate). This increase is between two and three times higher than the global estimates of dengue incidence in the future. It is suggested that the incidence of dengue cases is more sensitive to changes in temperature. Vector parameters increase with temperature in the future, indicating that the temperature conditions are highly favorable for the spread of the disease in the region. The results indicate that cities in the area surrounding the Tucurui hydroelectric dam are areas of potential dengue incidence in the future. These findings may be applied to hydroelectric dams in other areas of the world. However, future studies involving additional dams are necessary. The results suggest an increase in climate-driven risk of transmission from Aedes aegypti throughout the entire Amazon, and especially the eastern and southern parts. | |||
| Area | MET | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Future Changes in... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | franchito_future.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft12 | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.15.01.10 2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.53.04 2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.45.17 1 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; COMPENDEX; SCOPUS. | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||